# Meta discussion: videos and articles describing the challenges of modeling the epidemic

**URL:** <https://forum.comses.net/t/meta-discussion-videos-and-articles-describing-the-challenges-of-modeling-the-epidemic/8363>\
**Category:** coronavirus\
**Created:** [May 4, 2020, 6:45am UTC](https://forum.comses.net/t/meta-discussion-videos-and-articles-describing-the-challenges-of-modeling-the-epidemic/8363 "2020-05-04T06:45:14Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![alee](https://forum.comses.net/user_avatar/forum.comses.net/alee/32/482_2.png) [@alee](https://forum.comses.net/u/alee)\
**Post date:** [May 4, 2020, 6:45am UTC](https://forum.comses.net/t/meta-discussion-videos-and-articles-describing-the-challenges-of-modeling-the-epidemic/8363/1 "2020-05-04T06:45:15Z")

</div>

Extracted from [Curated list of coronavirus modeling resources](https://forum.comses.net/t/curated-list-of-coronavirus-modeling-resources/8252/)

# Videos on modeling the epidemic

- [Grant Sanderson video on simulating an epidemic](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gxAaO2rsdIs)

# Articles on modeling COVID-19

- [538 article on difficulty of modeling COVID-19](https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-its-so-freaking-hard-to-make-a-good-covid-19-model/)
- a collection of [articles analyzing the epidemic](http://www.eief.it/eief/index.php/by-eief-faculty) from the Einaudi Institute in Rome
- Politics of COVID 19 meta list: [https://the-syllabus.com/politics-of-covid19-readings-part1/](https://the-syllabus.com/politics-of-covid19-readings-part1/)
- Article in WIRED on the challenges of modeling and policy making: [https://www.wired.com/story/the-mathematics-of-predicting-the-course-of-the-coronavirus/](https://www.wired.com/story/the-mathematics-of-predicting-the-course-of-the-coronavirus/)
- Article (in French) on [“Modeling the diffusion of COVID-19?”](https://blogs.mediapart.fr/bluejuliette/blog/220320/modeliser-la-diffusion-du-covid-19-1) from [Juliette Rouchier](https://www.lamsade.dauphine.fr/~jrouchier/homepage.htm):
  - remarks on how the agent-based community regrets not having organized a response team (because we know the limits of the models)
  - discusses and compares two models, the [“Washington Post”](https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-simulator/) (simple) and the Imperial College model (descriptive).

- Wander Jager presents a modeler’s perspective on virus diffusion in [this article on “elephant in the lab”](https://elephantinthelab.org/predictions-on-the-spread-of-covid-19-bear-many-uncertainties/)
  - “_The prediction itself will have an impact on the spreading of the disease and that gives basically an additional layer of complexity to these processes._”: immergence, or second-order emergence.

- A good overview article on the longer term perspective: [https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/04/pandemic-summer-coronavirus-reopening-back-normal/609940/](https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/04/pandemic-summer-coronavirus-reopening-back-normal/609940/)
- [A NYT article on Vespignani’s network analyses estimating the extent of the invisible spread of coronavirus](https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/23/us/coronavirus-early-outbreaks-cities.html?referringSource=articleShare)
- [Another NYT article on the importance of ensemble modeling](https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/22/upshot/coronavirus-models.html)
- [A message from Brian Nosek, _ **Center for Open Science** _](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gn8yxxyIwBU&feature=youtu.be)