After Gary Polhill’s talk on prediction at Social Simulation 2019, there was a lively discussion about whether there are any simulation models (particularly agent-based simulations, but this was not entirely clear) that have predicted aspects of complex social systems.
Thus we (Gary Polhill, David Hales and I) are issuing a challenge to those who think there are such examples to send us the documentation about these predictions. We can then better assess the extent and manner of such predictions. Suggestions do not have to be limited to one’s own research, but could be any published work. Details at: